Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Girona had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.21%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.