Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.