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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2021 at 5pm UK
San Siro
Atalanta logo

AC Milan
0 - 3
Atalanta


Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
30.49%22.72%46.79%
Both teams to score 64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36%36.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.2%58.8%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28%23.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16%57.84%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9%16.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49%45.51%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 30.49%
    Atalanta BC 46.79%
    Draw 22.72%
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.22%
1-0 @ 5.5%
2-0 @ 3.95%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.49%
1-1 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 3.82%
3-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-1 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 5.58%
2-3 @ 4.01%
0-3 @ 3.88%
1-4 @ 2.55%
2-4 @ 1.83%
0-4 @ 1.77%
1-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 46.79%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Atalanta

AC Milan
71.8%
Draw
18.8%
Atalanta BC
9.4%
308
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 36
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Calhanoglu (14')
Biglia (25')
Zapata (34')
Toloi (38')
Dec 22, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 17
Atalanta
5-0
AC Milan
Papu (10'), Pasalic (61'), Ilicic (63', 72'), Muriel (84')
Castagne (46'), de Roon (56')

Musacchio (37'), Suso (44'), Romagnoli (71'), Kessie (77')
Feb 16, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
1-3
AC Milan
Freuler (33')
de Roon (18')
Piatek (45', 61'), Calhanoglu (55')
Suso (27'), Rodriguez (89')
Sep 23, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Higuain (2'), Bonaventura (61')
Calabria (51'), Higuain (66')
Papu (54'), Rigoni (90')
Papu (78')
May 13, 2018 5pm
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Masiello (90')
Masiello (13'), de Roon (28'), Toloi (64'), Gosens (73'), Ilicic (86')
Toloi (65')
Kessie (60')
Abate (17'), Kalinic (32'), Calhanoglu (66'), Romagnoli (69'), Borini (87'), Donnarumma (90')
Montolivo (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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