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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Giuseppe Meazza
Cagliari logo

AC Milan
3 - 0
Cagliari

Klavan (11' og.), Ibrahimovic (55'), Castillejo (57')
Saelemaekers (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereiro (13'), Farago (45'), Cragno (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Cagliari, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawCagliari
56.38%22.4%21.22%
Both teams to score 55.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44%43.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05%65.95%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73%15.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.04%43.96%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55%34.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84%71.16%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 56.38%
    Cagliari 21.22%
    Draw 22.4%
AC MilanDrawCagliari
2-1 @ 9.9%
1-0 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 9.29%
3-1 @ 6.2%
3-0 @ 5.82%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.92%
4-0 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 1.55%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 56.38%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 5.28%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.4%
1-2 @ 5.61%
0-1 @ 5.6%
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 21.22%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 19
Cagliari
0-2
AC Milan

Cigarini (26'), Nandez (39'), Pellegrini (60')
Leao (46'), Ibrahimovic (64')
Bennacer (61')
Feb 10, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
AC Milan
3-0
Cagliari
Ceppitelli (13' og.), Paqueta (22'), Piatek (62')

Farago (75')
Sep 16, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Cagliari
1-1
AC Milan
Pedro (4')
Srna (72')
Higuain (56')
Kessie (90')
Jan 21, 2018 5pm
Cagliari
1-2
AC Milan
Barella (8')
Barella (65'), Deiola (72'), Pavoletti (81'), Cigarini (90')
Barella (88')
Kessie (36' pen., 42')
Kalinic (27'), Suso (45'), Rodriguez (56')
Rodriguez (80')
Aug 27, 2017 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-1
Cagliari
Cutrone (10'), Suso (70')
Kessie (55'), Montolivo (89')
Pedro (56')
Pedro (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan30207367283967
2Napoli30197447242364
3Atalanta BCAtalanta30177663293458
4Bologna301511450341656
5Juventus301413346281855
6Roma30157845301552
7Lazio3015785142952
8Fiorentina30156947301751
9AC Milan30138945351047
10Udinese30117123641-540
11Torino3091293535039
12Genoa30811112838-1035
13Como3079143647-1130
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3093182958-2930
15CagliariCagliari3078153144-1329
16Parma30511143549-1426
17Lecce3067172149-2825
18Empoli30411152447-2323
19VeneziaVenezia30311162343-2020
20Monza3029192452-2815


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