Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
32.34% | 23.44% | 44.21% |
Both teams to score 62.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.75% | 39.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.42% | 61.58% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% | 23.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% | 58.08% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.88% | 18.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.94% | 49.06% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.34% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-1 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 5.15% 2-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.73% Total : 44.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
4 | Fiorentina | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 19 |
5 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
6 | Juventus | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
7 | Udinese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
8 | AC Milan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
9 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Roma | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Bologna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |