Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
43% | 23.6% | 33.41% |
Both teams to score 62.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.39% | 39.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.04% | 61.96% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.23% | 18.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.83% | 50.17% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% | 23.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% | 57.45% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
2-1 @ 8.93% 1-0 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.49% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 4.63% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |