Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
51.16% | 23.79% | 25.04% |
Both teams to score 55.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.42% | 45.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% | 67.9% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.16% | 17.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.4% | 48.59% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.83% | 32.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.35% | 68.65% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.16% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.6% Total : 25.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |