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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Milan logo

Atalanta
0 - 2
AC Milan


Freuler (47'), de Roon (69'), Toloi (86')
de Roon (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kessie (43' pen., 90+2' pen.)
Mandzukic (82'), Krunic (90+1'), Dalot (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
42.33%23.67%34%
Both teams to score 62.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.19%39.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84%62.17%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87%19.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22%50.78%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79%23.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89%57.11%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 42.33%
    AC Milan 34%
    Draw 23.67%
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 8.87%
1-0 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 4.44%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-1 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34%

How you voted: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Atalanta BC
43.3%
Draw
22.4%
AC Milan
34.3%
201
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 19
AC Milan
0-3
Atalanta

Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 36
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Calhanoglu (14')
Biglia (25')
Zapata (34')
Toloi (38')
Dec 22, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 17
Atalanta
5-0
AC Milan
Papu (10'), Pasalic (61'), Ilicic (63', 72'), Muriel (84')
Castagne (46'), de Roon (56')

Musacchio (37'), Suso (44'), Romagnoli (71'), Kessie (77')
Feb 16, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
1-3
AC Milan
Freuler (33')
de Roon (18')
Piatek (45', 61'), Calhanoglu (55')
Suso (27'), Rodriguez (89')
Sep 23, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Higuain (2'), Bonaventura (61')
Calabria (51'), Higuain (66')
Papu (54'), Rigoni (90')
Papu (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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