Serie A | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Atalanta5 - 2Cagliari
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
| 63.39% | 20.14% | 16.47% |
| Both teams to score 54.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
