Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 77.48%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 3-0 (11.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
77.48% | 15.19% | 7.33% |
Both teams to score 40.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.24% | 42.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.83% | 65.16% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.84% | 9.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.95% | 31.05% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.57% | 55.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.86% | 88.14% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 14.5% 1-0 @ 12.13% 3-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 8.56% 4-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 6.82% 4-1 @ 4.08% 5-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.95% 6-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.12% Total : 77.46% | 1-1 @ 7.16% 0-0 @ 5.08% 2-2 @ 2.53% Other @ 0.43% Total : 15.19% | 0-1 @ 3% 1-2 @ 2.11% Other @ 2.22% Total : 7.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
8 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |