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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Jul 2, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Napoli logo

Atalanta
2 - 0
Napoli

Pasalic (47'), Gosens (56')
Toloi (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rui (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including team news and predicted lineups

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
49.22%22.2%28.58%
Both teams to score 64.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.73%35.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.71%57.29%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27%14.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.05%42.94%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79%24.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46%58.54%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 49.22%
    Napoli 28.58%
    Draw 22.2%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-2 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 4.18%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 2%
5-1 @ 1.09%
4-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.22%
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 3.57%
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-1 @ 5.06%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 28.58%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 10
Napoli
2-2
Atalanta
Maksimovic (16'), Milik (71')
Maksimovic (48'), Di Lorenzo (84'), Insigne (88')
Freuler (41'), Ilicic (86')
Toloi (20'), de Roon (64'), Pasalic (67')
Apr 22, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 33
Napoli
1-2
Atalanta
Mertens (28')
Hysaj (29'), Koulibaly (71'), Fabian (82')
Zapata (69'), Pasalic (80')
Mancini (1')
Dec 3, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Zapata (56')
Masiello (61')
Fabian (2'), Milik (85')
Allan (14'), Rui (79')
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
Jan 2, 2018 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Napoli
1-2
Atalanta
Mertens (85')
Koulibaly (21'), Rog (27')
Castagne (50'), Papu (81')
Freuler (19'), Caldara (41'), Toloi (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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