Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
48.79% | 22.49% | 28.71% |
Both teams to score 63.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.39% | 36.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.24% | 58.76% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% | 15.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.84% | 44.15% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% | 24.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.62% | 59.37% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 5.82% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 4.06% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 4.01% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 3.81% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-1 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |