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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Roma logo

Atalanta
1 - 4
Roma

Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Roma

Atalanta, by far the team demonstrating the greater cohesion and flair over the past few weeks, must surely be favoured for a fourth win in five versus Roma on Saturday. Relatively untroubled by injuries, the hosts' squad is packed with various attacking options who can tilt the balance in their favour, while - as Mourinho loves to point out - the visitors' resources are rather more stretched. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
48.79%22.49%28.71%
Both teams to score 63.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.39%36.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24%58.76%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63%15.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.84%44.15%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2%24.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62%59.37%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 48.79%
    Roma 28.71%
    Draw 22.49%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 5.82%
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 4.06%
4-1 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.9%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 3.81%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 1.72%
1-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.71%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC
77.0%
Draw
14.3%
Roma
8.7%
161
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
4-1
Roma
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')
Feb 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Luis Palomino (50'), Pasalic (59')
Gosens (55')
Dzeko (45')
Mancini (11'), Mkhitaryan (27'), Fazio (88'), Perez (90'), Lopez (90')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 5
Roma
0-2
Atalanta

Zaniolo (40'), Jesus (89')
Zapata (71'), De Roon (90')
Kjaer (25')
Jan 27, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 21
Atalanta
3-3
Roma
Castagne (45'), Toloi (59'), Zapata (71')
Dzeko (3', 33'), El Shaarawy (40')
Cristante (23'), Manolas (35'), N'Zonzi (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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