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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Roma logo

Atalanta
1 - 4
Roma

Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Roma

Atalanta, by far the team demonstrating the greater cohesion and flair over the past few weeks, must surely be favoured for a fourth win in five versus Roma on Saturday. Relatively untroubled by injuries, the hosts' squad is packed with various attacking options who can tilt the balance in their favour, while - as Mourinho loves to point out - the visitors' resources are rather more stretched. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
48.79%22.49%28.71%
Both teams to score 63.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.39%36.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24%58.76%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63%15.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.84%44.15%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2%24.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62%59.37%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 48.79%
    Roma 28.71%
    Draw 22.49%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 7.14%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 5.82%
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 4.06%
4-1 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.9%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 3.81%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 1.72%
1-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.71%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC
77.0%
Draw
14.3%
Roma
8.7%
161
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
4-1
Roma
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')
Feb 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Luis Palomino (50'), Pasalic (59')
Gosens (55')
Dzeko (45')
Mancini (11'), Mkhitaryan (27'), Fazio (88'), Perez (90'), Lopez (90')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 5
Roma
0-2
Atalanta

Zaniolo (40'), Jesus (89')
Zapata (71'), De Roon (90')
Kjaer (25')
Jan 27, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 21
Atalanta
3-3
Roma
Castagne (45'), Toloi (59'), Zapata (71')
Dzeko (3', 33'), El Shaarawy (40')
Cristante (23'), Manolas (35'), N'Zonzi (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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