Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benevento in this match.
