Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benevento | Draw | Spezia |
40.76% | 25.83% | 33.41% |
Both teams to score 54.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.15% | 49.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.15% | 71.84% |
Benevento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% | 24.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.49% | 58.5% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.65% | 28.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.91% | 64.09% |
Score Analysis |
Benevento | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.64% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |