Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
