Bologna

0 - 2

Napoli

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.