We said: Cagliari 1-1 Lazio
Over the past two months, Cagliari have been made of sterner stuff, so will be no pushover for hit-and-miss Lazio when the teams convene on Saturday.
Precedent suggests that the visitors should add another win to their long list of successes over the Isolani, but a combination of grit and organisation can see the home side take another valuable point.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.