Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Feb 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Siro
AC Milan4 - 0Lazio
We said: AC Milan 2-1 Lazio
AC Milan have already beaten Lazio at the San Siro this season after winning 2-0 in Serie A back in September, and following their victory in the Milan derby on Saturday, the hosts will be oozing with confidence, and we think that they will use to that to their advantage to edge out the visitors on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
| 53.22% | 23.27% | 23.51% |
| Both teams to score 55.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.23% | 44.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.87% | 67.13% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% | 16.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.26% | 46.74% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% | 33.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.38% | 69.61% |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 53.22%
Lazio 23.51%
Draw 23.27%
| AC Milan | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 5.82% 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.12% Total : 53.22% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.14% 1-2 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.39% Total : 23.51% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Lazio
AC Milan
73.1%Draw
14.2%Lazio
12.7%134
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 3
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Lazio
3-0
AC Milan
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
AC Milan
3-2
Lazio
Jul 4, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 30
Lazio
0-3
AC Milan
Nov 3, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
AC Milan
1-2
Lazio
