Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Sampdoria |
42.63% | 26.48% | 30.89% |
Both teams to score 51.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.74% | 53.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% | 74.81% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% | 24.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.69% | 59.31% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.26% | 31.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.84% | 68.17% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |