Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Spezia |
30.52% | 25.2% | 44.27% |
Both teams to score 55.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.89% | 48.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.72% | 70.27% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% | 29.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% | 65.37% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.27% | 21.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.1% | 54.89% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 7.82% 2-1 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 4.64% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.41% Total : 44.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 29 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
3 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Fiorentina | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 28 |
5 | Lazio | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
6 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
10 | Empoli | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 16 |
11 | Torino | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Roma | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | Lecce | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 12 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
17 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 |
18 | Como | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 10 |
19 | Monza | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |