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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
Milan logo

Crotone
0 - 2
AC Milan


Marrone (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kessie (45+2' pen.), Diaz (50')
Pioli (57'), Gabbia (63'), Hernandez (78'), Leao (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A game between Crotone and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
CrotoneDrawAC Milan
27.44%23.55%49.01%
Both teams to score 58.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47%42.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06%64.94%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47%64.53%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49%17.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98%48.02%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 27.44%
    AC Milan 49.01%
    Draw 23.55%
CrotoneDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.82%
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 27.44%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-1 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 7.63%
1-3 @ 5.53%
0-3 @ 4.43%
2-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.41%
0-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.01%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2018 2pm
AC Milan
1-0
Crotone
Bonucci (54')
Biglia (45'), Kalinic (90')

Mandragora (20'), Martella (90')
Aug 20, 2017 7.45pm
Crotone
0-3
AC Milan

Dussenne (90')
Ceccherini (5')
Kessie (6' pen.), Cutrone (18'), Suso (24')
Cutrone (9'), Locatelli (59'), Bonucci (69')
Apr 30, 2017 2pm
Crotone
1-1
AC Milan
Trotta (8')
Ferrari (20'), Crisetig (26'), Falcinelli (94')
Zapata (50')
Kucka (24'), Deulofeu (43')
Kucka (96')
Dec 4, 2016 11.30am
AC Milan
2-1
Crotone
Pasalic (41'), Lapadula (86')
Locatelli (49'), Sosa (63'), Lapadula (87')
Falcinelli (26')
Rosi (43'), Crisetig (52'), Rohden (60'), Stoian (67')
Dec 1, 2015 8pm
Round Four
AC Milan
3-1
Crotone
Adriano (47'), Bonaventura (105'), Niang (115')
Mauri (65'), Adriano (109')
Budimir (68')
Alexandru Balasa (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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