Empoli

2 - 4

Roma

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.64%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.89%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.