Serie A Gameweek 38
May 22, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Roberto Piccoli 39' goal
  • Cher Ndour 67' yellowcard
  • Marin Pongracic 67' yellowcard
  • Luis Balbo 76' yellowcard
  • Manor Solomon 76' yellowcard
  • Luca Lezzerini 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davide Zappacosta 46'
  • yellowcard Charles De Ketelaere 62'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 66'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 67'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Scamacca 81'
  • yellowcard Dominic Vavassori 81'
  • goal Pietro Comuzzo 82' (OG)

Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 11.00am
Juventus 0 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 5.00pm
Atalanta 0 - 1 Bologna
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (9.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Fiorentina 35.73%
Draw 27.9%
Atalanta BC 36.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.57%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.28% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.72% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 45.5% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.5% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.7%
Under 3.5 75.3%
Over 4.5 13.1%
Under 4.5 86.9%

First Half Winner

Fiorentina 27.69%
Draw 44.32%
Atalanta BC 27.99%

Team To Score First

Fiorentina 44.14%
No Goal 9.15%
Atalanta BC 46.71%

Corners

Over 8 53.9%
Equal 8 11.93%
Under 8 34.17%
Over 9 42.11%
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 46.1%
Over 10.5 31.41%
Under 10.5 68.59%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 1.5 34.11% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.89% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.31% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.69% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.16%
Under 3.5 95.84%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 68.61%
Under 0.5 31.39%
Over 1.5 33.95%
Under 1.5 66.05%
Over 2.5 12.59% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.41% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.68%
Under 3.5 96.32%

Score analysis

Fiorentina 35.74%
Draw 27.9%
Atalanta BC 36.36%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.9% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.89%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 2.52% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 35.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 27.9%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 36.36%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Nov 30, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kossonou Odilon 41' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 51' goal
  • Isak Hien 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marin Pongracic 59'
  • yellowcard Pablo Mari 69'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 71'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2025 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Moise Kean 45' goal
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 77'
  • yellowcard Lazar Samardzic 86'
  • yellowcard Sead Kolasinac 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 2
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Mateo Retegui 21' goal
  • Isak Hien 27' yellowcard
  • Charles De Ketelaere 45' goal
  • Ademola Lookman 45'+1' goal
  • Davide Zappacosta 82' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Martinez 15'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Bove 17'
  • goal Moise Kean 32'
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 44'
  • yellowcard Amir Richardson 68'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Jun 2, 2024 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Ademola Lookman 12' goal
  • Giorgio Scalvini 32' goal
  • goal Andrea Belotti 6'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 19'
  • goal Andrea Belotti 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 75'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 85'
Coppa Italia
Apr 24, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Teun Koopmeiners 8' goal
  • Sead Kolasinac 56' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Scamacca 75' goal
  • Gianluca Scamacca 80' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 90'+4' goal
  • Mario Pasalic 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Rolando Mandragora 43'
  • redcard Nikola Milenkovic 53'
  • goal Lucas Martinez 68'
  • yellowcard Dodo 69'
Coppa Italia
Apr 3, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Rolando Mandragora 31' goal
  • Rolando Mandragora 55' yellowcard
  • Christian Kouame 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aleksei Miranchuk 29'
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 78'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Scamacca 89'