Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Cagliari |
52.27% | 24.27% | 23.45% |
Both teams to score 52.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.89% | 49.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.82% | 71.18% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.24% | 18.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.85% | 50.14% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.53% | 35.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.77% | 72.23% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.19% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.9% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
8 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |