Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
28.93% | 24.62% | 46.44% |
Both teams to score 56.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.63% | 46.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.34% | 68.66% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.39% | 29.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% | 65.65% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% | 20.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.73% | 52.27% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 7.23% 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.93% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-2 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 5% 0-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |