Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
61.55% ( -0.19) | 21.42% ( 0.05) | 17.03% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 51.37% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.53% ( 0.04) | 45.47% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.19% ( 0.04) | 67.8% ( -0.04) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.75% ( -0.05) | 14.25% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.99% ( -0.09) | 42.01% ( 0.09) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.9% ( 0.2) | 40.09% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.26% ( 0.19) | 76.74% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 61.54% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 21.42% | 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |