Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Parma had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Parma |
49.81% | 25% | 25.18% |
Both teams to score 52.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.44% | 50.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.52% | 72.48% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% | 20.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.31% | 52.69% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.26% | 34.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.53% | 71.47% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |