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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 31, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Spezia Calcio logo

Fiorentina
3 - 0
Spezia

Vlahovic (44' pen., 62', 74')
Martinez (36'), Venuti (55'), Vlahovic (75'), Maleh (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferrer (21'), Gyasi (43'), Colley (58'), Motta (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSpezia
55.94%22.32%21.74%
Both teams to score 56.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46%42.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06%64.94%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94%15.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.43%43.57%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62%33.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30%70%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 55.94%
    Spezia 21.74%
    Draw 22.32%
FiorentinaDrawSpezia
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 9.01%
3-1 @ 6.24%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-2 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.95%
4-0 @ 2.69%
4-2 @ 1.62%
5-1 @ 1.12%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 55.94%
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 5.42%
0-0 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 5.73%
0-1 @ 5.52%
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 21.74%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Spezia

Fiorentina
88.6%
Draw
7.6%
Spezia
3.8%
79
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Fiorentina
3-0
Spezia
Vlahovic (51'), Castrovilli (65'), Eysseric (83')
Amrabat (18'), Eysseric (75'), Valero (77'), Martinez (90+2')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 4
Spezia
2-2
Fiorentina
Verde (39'), Farias (75')
Deiola (45+1'), Chabot (59')
Pezzella (2'), Biraghi (4')
Bonaventura (66'), Lirola (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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