Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.