Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone1 - 3Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frosinone 1-0 Pisa
Friday, August 11 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia
Friday, August 11 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
We said: Frosinone 0-2 Napoli
Both clubs had the best defensive records in their respective divisions last season, but Frosinone's stats will be far harder to maintain this year. Although Napoli must adapt to life without their Scudetto-winning coach, they can get off to a winning start against promoted opponents who may need some time to settle back into Serie A. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Napoli |
23.4% ( 0) | 25.26% | 51.34% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.4% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
