Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 11.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
