Serie A | Gameweek 31
Jul 8, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
Genoa1 - 2Napoli
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Napoli |
| 21.74% | 22.09% | 56.17% |
| Both teams to score 57.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.1% | 63.9% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% | 32.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.63% | 69.37% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% | 14.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.24% | 42.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Genoa 21.74%
Napoli 56.17%
Draw 22.09%
| Genoa | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 5.73% 1-0 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 2.98% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.39% Total : 21.74% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 5.51% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.87% 1-3 @ 6.33% 0-3 @ 5.68% 2-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 3.04% 0-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 1.7% 1-5 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.98% Total : 56.17% |
