Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Genoa1 - 1Roma
FT(HT: 0-1)
We said: Genoa 2-1 Roma
Needing three points to boost his troops before their Europa League campaign kicks off next week, Daniele De Rossi would have hoped for a more straightforward fixture following the international break. As Roma's new boys are still settling in - and their coach seems unsure how to use them - Genoa can beat their capital counterparts again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Roma |
33.22% ( -0.16) | 27.07% ( -0.03) | 39.71% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
