MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 10:43:10| >> :600:2992885:2992885:
Genoa logo
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 0
Reggiana

Messias (65')
Badelj (10'), De Winter (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vergara (16'), Rozzio (48'), Meroni (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Coppa Italia clash between Genoa and Reggiana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 1-2 Genoa
Sunday, August 4 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Reggiana 5-2 Legnago Salus
Friday, August 2 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Genoa 3-0 Reggiana

A well-oiled machine under Alberto Gilardino - who stayed in post despite being linked with a move up the Serie A foodchain - Genoa should surely eliminate Reggiana for the second year running. Having lost a head coach of Alessandro Nesta's stature, the Granata may struggle to make an impact at Stadio Ferraris. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Genoa.

Result
GenoaDrawReggiana
58.68% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04) 22.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 18.88% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.64% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.11% (0.066000000000003 0.07)46.88% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (0.063000000000002 0.06)69.13% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (0.0049999999999955 0)15.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33% (0.012 0.01)44.66% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Reggiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.22% (0.085000000000001 0.09)38.77% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.49% (0.082999999999998 0.08)75.51% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 58.67%
    Reggiana 18.88%
    Draw 22.43%
GenoaDrawReggiana
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 58.67%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.43%
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.88%

How you voted: Genoa vs Reggiana

Genoa
85.2%
Draw
14.8%
Reggiana
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2023 2pm
Second Round
Genoa
2-1
Reggiana
Haps (53'), Gudmundsson (99')
Matturro (18'), Frendrup (59')
Djamanca (37')
Nardi (50'), Cigarini (115')
rhs 2.0
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