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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Inter logo

Genoa
2 - 2
Inter Milan

Vogliacco (20'), Messias (90+5')
Gilardino (53'), Gollini (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thuram (30', 82')
Mkhitaryan (16'), Gilardino (61'), Asllani (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Reggiana
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Genoa 0-2 Inter Milan

Inter have won each of their last five Serie A openers, and having opted for continuity this summer, they should make it six against a Genoa side lacking last season's main men up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawInter Milan
29.58% (0.694 0.69) 25.3% (0.22 0.22) 45.12% (-0.913 -0.91)
Both teams to score 54.43% (-0.291 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (-0.574 -0.57)48.97% (0.573 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (-0.524 -0.52)71.05% (0.524 0.52)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (0.20200000000001 0.2)30.48% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (0.24 0.24)66.69% (-0.24000000000001 -0.24)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)21.7% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.14% (-0.999 -1)54.85% (0.998 1)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 29.58%
    Inter Milan 45.11%
    Draw 25.3%
GenoaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.227 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.67% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 12% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.5% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.11%

How you voted: Genoa vs Inter Milan

Genoa
6.2%
Draw
12.4%
Inter Milan
81.4%
97
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Inter Milan
2-1
Genoa
Asllani (30'), Sanchez (38' pen.)
Inzaghi (21'), Dumfries (22'), Martinez (69')
Vasquez (54')
Frendrup (20'), Strootman (47'), Vasquez (61')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Genoa
1-1
Inter Milan
Dragusin (45+7')
Gilardino (56'), Gudmundsson (66'), Dragusin (69')
Arnautovic (42')
Barella (77'), Mkhitaryan (86')
Feb 25, 2022 8.05pm
Gameweek 27
Genoa
0-0
Inter Milan
Portanova (72'), Gudmundsson (74'), Blessin (75')
Perisic (54')
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
4-0
Genoa
Skriniar (6'), Calhanoglu (14'), Vidal (74'), Dzeko (87')
Vecino (78')

Criscito (2'), Sturaro (66')
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Inter Milan
3-0
Genoa
Lukaku (1'), Darmian (69'), Sanchez (80')

Zapata (19'), Strootman (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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