Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Inter Milan |
29.58% ( 0.69) | 25.3% ( 0.22) | 45.12% ( -0.91) |
Both teams to score 54.43% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.03% ( -0.57) | 48.97% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.94% ( -0.52) | 71.05% ( 0.52) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.52% ( 0.2) | 30.48% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.31% ( 0.24) | 66.69% ( -0.24) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% ( -0.65) | 21.7% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.14% ( -1) | 54.85% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.4% Total : 45.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |