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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Roma logo

Atalanta
2 - 1
Roma

De Ketelaere (18', 20')
Piero Gasperini (43'), Koopmeiners (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pellegrini (66' pen.)
N'Dicka (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Roma
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Atalanta BC 0-0 Roma

Atalanta often falter against other teams in Serie A's top six, while Roma are rarely at their best away from home. Following intense Europa League semi-finals, both will also be weary, so this crucial contest could end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
55.32% (-0.323 -0.32) 23.33% (0.119 0.12) 21.35% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.249 -0.25)47.43% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (-0.231 -0.23)69.64% (0.233 0.23)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)17% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (-0.364 -0.36)47.12% (0.366 0.37)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (0.063000000000002 0.06)36.51% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (0.064 0.06)73.29% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 55.32%
    Roma 21.35%
    Draw 23.33%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.076 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC
57.5%
Draw
29.2%
Roma
13.3%
120
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Dybala (39' pen.)
Mourinho (45+7'), Kristensen (63')
Mourinho (90+4')
Koopmeiners (8')
Scalvini (29'), Ruggeri (37'), Ederson (43'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (74'), Holm (90')
Apr 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
3-1
Roma
Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
0-1
Atalanta
Scalvini (35')
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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