Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.76%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
70.76% | 17.18% | 12.06% |
Both teams to score 53.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.23% | 36.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.06% | 58.94% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.76% | 9.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.75% | 31.25% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.42% | 41.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.93% | 78.07% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 7.59% 4-0 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 4.52% 3-2 @ 3.33% 5-0 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.98% 6-0 @ 0.97% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.38% Total : 70.75% | 1-1 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.2% 0-0 @ 3.84% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.18% | 1-2 @ 3.52% 0-1 @ 3.37% 0-2 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.43% Total : 12.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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