Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Lazio |
52.8% | 22.13% | 25.07% |
Both teams to score 61.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.07% | 37.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.82% | 60.18% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.5% | 14.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.51% | 42.49% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% | 28.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% | 63.69% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 9.64% 1-0 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 6.21% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 3% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.8% | 1-1 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-1 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.59% Total : 25.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |