Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 82.77%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 5.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.98%) and 1-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.73%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Cagliari |
82.77% | 12.15% | 5.08% |
Both teams to score 38.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.11% | 37.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.85% | 60.15% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.13% | 6.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.73% | 25.27% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
40.97% | 59.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
9.85% | 90.15% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 14.54% 3-0 @ 12.98% 1-0 @ 10.86% 4-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 6.85% 5-0 @ 4.66% 4-1 @ 4.59% 5-1 @ 2.46% 6-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.21% 6-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.27% Total : 82.75% | 1-1 @ 5.73% 0-0 @ 4.06% 2-2 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.35% Total : 12.15% | 0-1 @ 2.14% 1-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.44% Total : 5.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |