Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 58%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 21.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
58% | 20.56% | 21.44% |
Both teams to score 62.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.39% | 34.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.44% | 56.56% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.17% | 11.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.91% | 37.09% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.85% | 29.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.92% | 65.08% |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 7.86% 1-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 6.89% 3-0 @ 5.59% 3-2 @ 4.25% 4-1 @ 3.68% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 2.27% 5-1 @ 1.57% 5-0 @ 1.27% 5-2 @ 0.97% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.7% Total : 58% | 1-1 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 3.45% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 5.59% 0-1 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.15% Total : 21.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
8 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
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