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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Lazio
1 - 4
Atalanta

Caicedo (57')
Marusic (12'), Alberto (26'), Leiva (40'), Cataldi (70'), Acerbi (72'), Caicedo (75'), Immobile (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gosens (10'), Hateboer (32'), Papu (41', 61')
Djimsiti (17'), Freuler (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A fixture between Lazio and Atalanta BC, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
32.08%24.47%43.45%
Both teams to score 58.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79%44.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.41%66.59%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56%26.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39%61.61%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53%20.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07%52.93%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 32.08%
    Atalanta BC 43.45%
    Draw 24.46%
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.6%
1-0 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.08%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-1 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 4.79%
0-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 1.9%
0-4 @ 1.43%
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 43.45%

Head to Head
Jun 24, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 19, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 8
Lazio
3-3
Atalanta
Immobile (69' pen., 93' pen.), Correa (70')
Marusic (27'), Parolo (32'), Lulic (49'), Milinkovic-Savic (80'), Immobile (93')
Muriel (23', 28'), Papu (37')
Gollini (58'), Toloi (60')
May 15, 2019 7.45pm
May 5, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
1-3
Atalanta
Parolo (3')
Bastos (26'), Caicedo (41'), Leiva (60'), Correa (87')
Zapata (22'), Castagne (58'), Wallace (76' og.)
Masiello (36'), Papu (54'), Mancini (83')
Dec 17, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Atalanta
1-0
Lazio
Zapata (1')
Zapata (50'), Djimsiti (88')

Parolo (38'), Wallace (62'), Lukaku (87'), Acerbi (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010


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