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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Jun 22, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Via del Mare
Milan logo

Lecce
1 - 4
AC Milan

Mancosu (54' pen.)
Lucioni (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castillejo (26'), Bonaventura (55'), Rebic (57'), Leao (72')
Kjaer (45+3'), Gabbia (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lecce and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawAC Milan
25.68%22.49%51.82%
Both teams to score 60.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.93%39.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.61%61.39%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81%28.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12%63.88%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78%15.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13%43.87%
Score Analysis
    Lecce 25.68%
    AC Milan 51.82%
    Draw 22.49%
LecceDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.48%
1-0 @ 5.43%
2-0 @ 3.44%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 25.68%
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.29%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-1 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 7.6%
1-3 @ 6.04%
0-3 @ 4.77%
2-3 @ 3.83%
1-4 @ 2.84%
0-4 @ 2.25%
2-4 @ 1.8%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 51.82%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
AC Milan
2-2
Lecce
Calhanoglu (20'), Piatek (81')
Biglia (85')
Babacar (62'), Calderoni (92')
Majer (44'), Rossettini (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010


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