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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
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Lecce
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

Last Six:
    Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Cittadella
    Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

    Inter Milan

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Inter Milan 2-4 Villarreal
      Saturday, August 6 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

      We said: Lecce 1-3 Inter Milan

       Inter were clearly in good shape going forward during pre-season, but also showed signs of defensive vulnerability, so victory at Via del Mare should not be taken for granted. Though they may not keep a clean sheet, the Nerazzurri will still win on the opening night of their 2022-23 season, thanks to their abundant resources in the final third. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

      Result
      LecceDrawInter Milan
      23.41% (0.041 0.04) 23% (0.020999999999997 0.02) 53.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
      Both teams to score 56.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      56.34% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)43.66% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      33.95% (-0.055 -0.05)66.05% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
      Lecce Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      67.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      30.96% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)69.03% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
      Inter Milan Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      83.75% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)16.25% (0.041 0.04)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      54.22% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)45.78% (0.073 0.07)
      Score Analysis
          Lecce 23.41%
          Inter Milan 53.59%
          Draw 22.99%
      LecceDrawInter Milan
      2-1 @ 6.06% (0.008 0.01)
      1-0 @ 5.94% (0.015 0.01)
      2-0 @ 3.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
      3-1 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
      3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
      3-0 @ 1.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
      Other @ 2.49%
      Total : 23.41%
      		1-1 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
      0-0 @ 5.28% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
      3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
      Other @ 0.17%
      Total : 22.99%
      		1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      0-1 @ 9.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
      0-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
      1-3 @ 5.94% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
      0-3 @ 5.28% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
      2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
      1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
      0-4 @ 2.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
      2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
      1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
      Other @ 3.34%
      Total : 53.59%

      How you voted: Lecce vs Inter Milan

      Lecce
      15.2%
      Draw
      8.1%
      Inter Milan
      76.8%
      99
      Head to Head
      Jan 19, 2020 2pm
      Lecce
      1-1
      Inter Milan
      Mancosu (77')
      Donati (21'), Meccariello (93')
      Bastoni (72')
      Candreva (32'), Valero (88')
      Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
      Inter Milan
      4-0
      Lecce
      Brozovic (21'), Sensi (24'), Lukaku (60'), Candreva (84')
      Martinez (40')

      Petriccione (38'), Lapadula (52')
      Farias (76')
      > Match Report
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Napoli128221991026
      2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
      3Fiorentina1274125101525
      4Inter Milan1274126141225
      5Lazio1281325141125
      6Juventus126602171424
      7AC Milan115332014618
      8Bologna114611513218
      9Udinese125161518-316
      10Empoli12363910-115
      11Torino124261518-314
      12Roma123451417-313
      13Parma122641618-212
      14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
      15Como122461323-1010
      16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
      17Genoa12246922-1310
      18Lecce12237521-169
      19Monza121561015-58
      20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
      > Serie A Full Table


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