Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
41.33% | 25.19% | 33.48% |
Both teams to score 56.53% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53% | 47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.75% | 69.25% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.36% | 22.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.73% | 56.27% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% | 26.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.75% | 62.25% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli 41.33%
AC Milan 33.48%
Draw 25.19%
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.33% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 8% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.48% |
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 13
AC Milan
1-1
Napoli
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Jan 26, 2019 7.30pm
Aug 25, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
3-2
AC Milan
Apr 15, 2018 2pm