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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
Milan logo

Napoli
1 - 3
AC Milan

Mertens (63')
Bakayoko (16'), Rui (81')
Bakayoko (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ibrahimovic (20', 54'), Petter Hauge (90+5')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawAC Milan
42.47%24.48%33.05%
Both teams to score 58.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1%43.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71%66.28%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22%20.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57%53.43%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31%25.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39%60.6%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 42.47%
    AC Milan 33.05%
    Draw 24.47%
NapoliDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-1 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.05%

Head to Head
Jul 12, 2020 8.45pm
Nov 23, 2019 5pm
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
2-0
Napoli
Piatek (11', 27')

Malcuit (29'), Milik (35'), Koulibaly (40')
Jan 26, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
AC Milan
0-0
Napoli
Cutrone (17')
Fabian (18'), Albiol (86')
Fabian (90')
Aug 25, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
3-2
AC Milan
Zielinski (53', 67'), Mertens (80')
Insigne (30'), Koulibaly (90')
Bonaventura (15'), Calabria (49')
Suso (31'), Rodriguez (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Roma113441214-213
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
13Empoli1025379-211
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Como102351221-99
16Parma101631416-29
17Monza111551014-48
18VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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