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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
Milan logo

Napoli
1 - 3
AC Milan

Mertens (63')
Bakayoko (16'), Rui (81')
Bakayoko (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ibrahimovic (20', 54'), Petter Hauge (90+5')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawAC Milan
42.47%24.48%33.05%
Both teams to score 58.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1%43.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71%66.28%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22%20.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57%53.43%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31%25.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39%60.6%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 42.47%
    AC Milan 33.05%
    Draw 24.47%
NapoliDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-1 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.05%

Head to Head
Jul 12, 2020 8.45pm
Nov 23, 2019 5pm
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
2-0
Napoli
Piatek (11', 27')

Malcuit (29'), Milik (35'), Koulibaly (40')
Jan 26, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
AC Milan
0-0
Napoli
Cutrone (17')
Fabian (18'), Albiol (86')
Fabian (90')
Aug 25, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
3-2
AC Milan
Zielinski (53', 67'), Mertens (80')
Insigne (30'), Koulibaly (90')
Bonaventura (15'), Calabria (49')
Suso (31'), Rodriguez (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15CagliariCagliari132561424-1011
16Genoa132561124-1311
17Como122461323-1010
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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