Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
42.47% | 24.48% | 33.05% |
Both teams to score 58.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.1% | 43.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.71% | 66.28% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% | 20.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% | 53.43% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% | 25.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% | 60.6% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-1 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 |
17 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |