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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Crotone logo

Napoli
4 - 3
Crotone

Insigne (19'), Osimhen (22'), Mertens (34'), Di Lorenzo (72')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Simy (25', 48'), Messias (59')
Rispoli (19'), Benali (67'), Pereira (78'), Rojas Zamora (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 7.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawCrotone
78.66%13.37%7.97%
Both teams to score 51.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.22%30.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.86%52.14%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79%6.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.54%23.46%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.71%45.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.84%81.16%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 78.65%
    Crotone 7.97%
    Draw 13.37%
NapoliDrawCrotone
2-0 @ 10.86%
3-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 7.98%
1-0 @ 7.81%
4-0 @ 7%
4-1 @ 5.54%
5-0 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.16%
5-1 @ 3.08%
4-2 @ 2.2%
6-0 @ 1.8%
6-1 @ 1.43%
5-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 78.65%
1-1 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 3.41%
0-0 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.37%
1-2 @ 2.45%
0-1 @ 2.23%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 7.97%

How you voted: Napoli vs Crotone

Napoli
96.2%
Draw
0.0%
Crotone
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 10
Crotone
0-4
Napoli

Cuomo (45'), Pereira (53'), Reca (67')
Petriccione (50')
Insigne (31'), Lozano (58'), Demme (76'), Petagna (90+1')
Koulibaly (6'), Lobotka (81'), Politano (84')
May 20, 2018 5pm
Dec 29, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2017 2pm
Napoli
3-0
Crotone
Insigne (32' pen., 70'), Mertens (66' pen.)
Rog (27')

Martella (42'), Crisetig (54'), Ferrari (87')
Oct 23, 2016 2pm
Crotone
1-2
Napoli
Rossi (89')
Ferrari (32'), Crisetig (89')
Callejon (18'), Maksimovic (33')
Gabbiadini (31')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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