Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 7.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Crotone |
78.66% | 13.37% | 7.97% |
Both teams to score 51.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.22% | 30.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.86% | 52.14% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.79% | 6.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.54% | 23.46% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.71% | 45.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.84% | 81.16% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Crotone |
2-0 @ 10.86% 3-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 7.98% 1-0 @ 7.81% 4-0 @ 7% 4-1 @ 5.54% 5-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.16% 5-1 @ 3.08% 4-2 @ 2.2% 6-0 @ 1.8% 6-1 @ 1.43% 5-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 4.02% Total : 78.65% | 1-1 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 3.41% 0-0 @ 2.81% Other @ 0.96% Total : 13.37% | 1-2 @ 2.45% 0-1 @ 2.23% Other @ 3.29% Total : 7.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
8 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
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