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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Crotone logo

Napoli
4 - 3
Crotone

Insigne (19'), Osimhen (22'), Mertens (34'), Di Lorenzo (72')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Simy (25', 48'), Messias (59')
Rispoli (19'), Benali (67'), Pereira (78'), Rojas Zamora (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 7.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawCrotone
78.66%13.37%7.97%
Both teams to score 51.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.22%30.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.86%52.14%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79%6.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.54%23.46%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.71%45.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.84%81.16%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 78.65%
    Crotone 7.97%
    Draw 13.37%
NapoliDrawCrotone
2-0 @ 10.86%
3-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 7.98%
1-0 @ 7.81%
4-0 @ 7%
4-1 @ 5.54%
5-0 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.16%
5-1 @ 3.08%
4-2 @ 2.2%
6-0 @ 1.8%
6-1 @ 1.43%
5-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 78.65%
1-1 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 3.41%
0-0 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.37%
1-2 @ 2.45%
0-1 @ 2.23%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 7.97%

How you voted: Napoli vs Crotone

Napoli
96.2%
Draw
0.0%
Crotone
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 10
Crotone
0-4
Napoli

Cuomo (45'), Pereira (53'), Reca (67')
Petriccione (50')
Insigne (31'), Lozano (58'), Demme (76'), Petagna (90+1')
Koulibaly (6'), Lobotka (81'), Politano (84')
May 20, 2018 5pm
Dec 29, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2017 2pm
Napoli
3-0
Crotone
Insigne (32' pen., 70'), Mertens (66' pen.)
Rog (27')

Martella (42'), Crisetig (54'), Ferrari (87')
Oct 23, 2016 2pm
Crotone
1-2
Napoli
Rossi (89')
Ferrari (32'), Crisetig (89')
Callejon (18'), Maksimovic (33')
Gabbiadini (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010


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