Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
36.85% | 25.22% | 37.92% |
Both teams to score 56.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.31% | 46.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% | 68.95% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% | 24.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% | 59.4% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.76% | 24.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.41% | 58.59% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.95% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.85% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |