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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Salernitana

Napoli
4 - 1
Salernitana

Jesus (17'), Mertens (45+4' pen.), Rrahmani (47'), Insigne (53' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bonazzoli (33')
Delli Carri (23'), Obi (30'), Veseli (45+3')
Veseli (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Napoli 4-0 Salernitana

There is only one viable outcome from this lopsided derby encounter, as Napoli have several men returning to aid their quest to get back in the title race, and their visitors are rock-bottom and beset with absences. With competition for places back on the agenda for the Partenopei, the likes of Osimhen, Mertens and Lozano will go all out to establish their credentials before upcoming clashes with Inter and Barcelona - resulting in a torrid afternoon for Serie B-bound Salernitana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.63%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawSalernitana
73.63%15.98%10.39%
Both teams to score 51.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.25%35.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.17%57.83%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66%8.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.95%29.05%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.19%43.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.03%79.97%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 73.63%
    Salernitana 10.39%
    Draw 15.98%
NapoliDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 11.27%
3-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 7.71%
4-0 @ 5.8%
4-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.88%
5-1 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.98%
6-0 @ 1.19%
6-1 @ 0.99%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 73.63%
1-1 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 3.84%
0-0 @ 3.65%
Other @ 1%
Total : 15.98%
1-2 @ 3.09%
0-1 @ 3.01%
0-2 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.39%

How you voted: Napoli vs Salernitana

Napoli
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Salernitana
6.3%
32
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 11
Salernitana
0-1
Napoli

Kastanos (70')
Zielinski (61')
Zambo Anguissa (41'), Rui (74')
Koulibaly (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli164751416-219
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza161781421-710


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