Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Crotone |
51.79% | 24.06% | 24.16% |
Both teams to score 53.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.47% | 47.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.27% | 69.74% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.66% | 18.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.55% | 49.45% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.03% | 33.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.35% | 70.65% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Crotone |
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.38% Total : 51.78% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.73% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.24% Total : 24.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 31 |
3 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Fiorentina | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 28 |
5 | Lazio | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 28 |
6 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
7 | AC Milan | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
10 | Empoli | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 16 |
11 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 15 |
12 | Torino | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 14 |
14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Roma | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
16 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 13 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 12 |
18 | Como | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 11 |
19 | Monza | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |