Serie A | Gameweek 30
Jul 5, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Ennio Tardini
Parma1 - 2Fiorentina
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 31.63% | 25.52% | 42.85% |
| Both teams to score 54.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
